专家们说,拉斯维加斯 LAS VEGAS 新屋市场强劲???
专家们说,拉斯维加斯
LAS VEGAS 新屋市场强劲???
房地产专家, 在内华达州南部的住宅建筑商协会, 经济预测会议周三讲话的评估。经济消息是不错 - 即使是非常不错的 - 但是这没有转化为购买者成群结队排队花掉的钱新居。
首先,好消息:
拉斯维加斯不仅获得更多的就业机会,并以速度比全国平均水平要高得多,它变得更好,更多样化的就业机会。
史蒂夫·希尔,经济发展的州长办公室主任,他说在北拉斯维加斯的法拉第电动汽车厂本身将有当它完全在21世纪20年代工作的山谷$ 5.5十亿的影响,该公司将支付每小时平均$ 22日 - 加益 - 对4,500名员工。这意味着越来越多的人购买房地产,包括新房和复兴MacIntyre项目。
“这带来了狼弹回到这个过程中,”希尔说。
土狼泉是一个大的总体规划社区东北拉斯维加斯55英里大萧条期间搁置。今年夏天,它会重新出现,从它的住宅建设伙伴,帕迪院四年的官司。预计在今年晚些时候恢复的开发工作。
虽然法拉第将锚定的Apex工业现场,有超过6000亩可开发那里,这取决于怎么舍得投资是建立在一个斜坡。
随着电动车公司法拉第;在宣布测试设备为未来的交通系统由超回路列车技术公司,也是在先端;里诺特斯拉电池工厂;内华达州被命名测试状态的无人驾驶飞机;并且提出了高速列车到洛杉矶的边缘,拉斯维加斯正在成为交通一个更大的球员全国。
“交通的未来是发生在内华达州,”希尔说,“特别是在南内华达州。”
在应用分析首席分析师杰里米·阿圭罗,回应有关如何在传统上重要的数字正在寻找好的拉斯维加斯,包括创造就业机会,人们搬到内华达州(州是第二次人口增长),越来越施工许可证,入学率的乐观情绪,驾照和对住房的需求。
“通过各种措施,应增加对住房的需求,”他说。
但它现在还没有,至少没有对准的经济数字。
阿圭罗指责大部分是由经济衰退和因为千禧一代只着眼于不同的世界带来了部分的文化转变。
丧失抵押品赎回权的痛苦,失去房子和生活在边缘,使人们怯懦,没有安全感有关获取超越他们的领导 - 就像字二战一代人成长于大萧条时期,绝不会扔东西了。
但千禧一代也(经济衰退和33½现在前38周),而且往往是由选择工作的时间。我们还有30多岁的年轻人住在父母的地下室,千禧一代会比试图获得成功的事业和买房更成“骑自行车,绘画,木偶戏”,阿圭罗说。
“他们有其他的激情。”
同时,人口增长靠在旧的 - 因为退休人员搬到这里和较慢的出生率。
它一直主要是好消息也是由丹尼斯·史密斯,房产商研究公司总裁的推算。他还表示,房屋销售应该更强拉斯维加斯是搭建数字,其中包括超过14%的许可证问题。如果其他地区有这样的成就,他说,“有会是很多香槟庆祝会掉的,在拉斯维加斯,它就像...... EHH。”
7000多名新房屋的建造,并在拉斯维加斯去年售出,繁荣(这是不正常的时代)仍然可能的三分之一。我们应该做的约10000的一年,但史密斯不指望这样的事情发生在明年,或者后年 - 虽然趋势是朝着正确的方向。
两个不利因素建设者面临的往往是获得融资的人,他们的财务状况被丢弃在经济衰退和获得足够的土地廉价地建立,赚取利润,仍然产生适用房的能力。
“有人告诉我这里的土地,”他说。
史密斯还认为,更多的婴儿潮一代进来,包括像的Pahrump,梅斯基特,劳克林,甚至附近的亚利桑那比较远的地方。
Las Vegas Experts say new-home market robust!
http://www.reviewjournal.com/business/economy/experts-say-las-vegas-new-home-market-robust
That's the assessments of real estate experts who spoke at the Southern Nevada Home Builders Association economic forecast meeting Wednesday. The economic news was good — even very good — but that's not translating into throngs of buyers lining up to plunk down money on new homes.
So first, the good news:
Las Vegas is not only getting more jobs, and at a rate much higher than the national average, it's getting better and more diverse jobs.
Steve Hill, director of the Governor's Office of Economic Development, said the Faraday electric car plant in North Las Vegas by itself will have a $5.5 billion impact on the valley when it's fully functioning in the 2020s, and it will pay an average $22 an hour — plus benefits — for 4,500 employees. That means more people buying real estate, including new homes and resurging projects.
"It brings Coyote Springs back into the process," Hill said.
Coyote Springs is a large master-planned community 55 miles northeast of Las Vegas put on hold during the Great Recession. This summer, it re-emerged from a four-year legal battle with its homebuilding partner, Pardee Homes. It is expected to resume work on the development later this year.
While Faraday will anchor the Apex industrial site, there are more than 6,000 developable acres there, depending on how willing investors are to build on a slope.
With electric car company Faraday; an announced test facility for a futuristic transportation system by Hyperloop Technologies Inc., also at Apex; the Tesla battery plant in Reno; Nevada being named a test state for drones; and a proposed speed train to the edge of Los Angeles, Las Vegas is becoming a much bigger player in transportation nationally.
"The future of transportation is happening in Nevada," Hill said, "particularly in Southern Nevada."
Jeremy Aguero, principal analyst at Applied Analysis, echoed the optimism about how the traditionally important numbers are looking good for Las Vegas, including job creation, people moving to Nevada (the state is second in population growth), growing construction permits, school enrollment, driver's licenses and demand for housing.
"By all measures, there should be an increase in demand for housing," he said.
But it's not there yet, at least not in alignment with economic numbers.
Aguero blamed much of that on the cultural shift brought on partially by the recession and because the millennial generation just looks at the world differently.
The pain of foreclosures, losing houses and living on the edge made people skittish and insecure about getting in over their heads — just like the Word War II generation that grew up in the Depression and will never throw anything away.
But millennials also work fewer hours (38 a week before the recession and 33½ now), and often by choice. We still have 30-somethings living in the parents' basement, and millennials may be more into "biking, painting or puppetry" than trying to get ahead in a career and buy a house, Aguero said.
"They have other passions."
Meanwhile, the population growth is leaning older — because of retirees moving here and a slower birthrate.
It's been mostly good news also by the reckoning of Dennis Smith, president of Home Builders Research. He also said home sales should be stronger with the numbers Las Vegas is putting up, including more than 14 percent more permits issues. If other regions had that success, he said, "there'd be a lot of champagne corks going off. In Vegas, it's like … ehh."
More than 7,000 new homes were built and sold in Las Vegas last year, still maybe a third of the boom (which wasn't normal times). We should be doing about 10,000 a year, but Smith doesn't expect that to happen next year, or the year after — although the trend is in the right direction.
Two headwinds builders face are the ability to get financing for people whose finances were trashed in the recession and getting land inexpensive enough to build, make a profit and still produce an affordable house.
"Someone show me where the land is," he said.
Smith also sees more baby boomers coming in, including to more distant locations like Pahrump, Mesquite, Laughlin and even nearby Arizona.
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